‘Lifestyle guru’ Dave Asprey released a viral video this past week entitled “Pandemic Math” where he laid out the manner is which mortality estimates for pandemics are estimated.
He also discussed the timeline for a pandemic which always go down over time.
Dr. Ned Nikolav also posted on this concept on Friday.
I know exponential growth, but I also know that it NEVER last for ever. Here is a graph showing a typical evolution of a viral epidemic in terms of hospitalized cases. This is from Ghani et al (2005: https://t.co/iRETLelYOs). The exponential phase is short term. pic.twitter.com/VPDki5vd1I
— Ned Nikolov, Ph.D. (@NikolovScience) March 28, 2020
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Dr. Asprey’s work provides additional support for our claims at The Gateway Pundit that the WHO’s mortality estimate of 3.4% was a massive overstatement of the rate for the coronavirus.
Dave Asprey, released an excellent video explaining why the current estimates for the coronavirus are materially overstated. Simply put, they are because the initial estimates for pandemics are always incorrect.
Asprey notes the following about the current coronavirus scare:
In Every Single Pandemic That’s Ever Been Recorded, Mortality Estimates Decline Over Time”
When discussing the mortality rates estimated for the H1N1 swine flu in 2009-2010, Asprey notes that the WHO reduced their mortality rates for this four years after their initial estimates were released:
Four years later when they had all the data, the WHO revised the mortality rate from 1.3% to .02%…. They reduced the mortality rate by 65 times – 65 times. Now is that going to happen with Covid 19? Almost certainly!
Asprey’s “Pandemic Math” confirms what we have been saying for the past few weeks.
There were two main organizations behind the global coronavirus panic.
** The first was World Health Organization’s Director General, Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, who claimed in a press conference in early March that the fatality rate for the coronavirus was many multiples that of the fatality rate of the common flu. Ghebreyesus claimed the coronavirus had a 3.4% mortality rate and incorrectly compared this inaccurate number to the annual estimated flu mortality rate of 0.1%.
** And the second organization was the Imperial College study from London that claimed half a million Brits would die in the pandemic and 2 million Americans would perish from COVID-19.
They were both wrong.
As we have reported numerous times now… The controversial Ethiopian politician and Director General of the World Health Organization (WHO), Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, claimed in a press conference in early March that the fatality rate for the coronavirus was many multiples that of the fatality rate of the common flu.
This egregiously false premise has led to the greatest global economic panic in world history.
The Director General of the WHO spoke on March 3, 2020 and shared this related to the coronavirus:
While many people globally have built up immunity to seasonal flu strains, COVID-19 is a new virus to which no one has immunity. That means more people are susceptible to infection, and some will suffer severe disease.
Globally, about 3.4% of reported COVID-19 cases have died. By comparison, seasonal flu generally kills far fewer than 1% of those infected.
Here is the video of Dr. Ghebreyesus’s remarks.
This statement led to the greatest panic in world history as the global elite media shared and repeated that the coronavirus was many, many times more deadly than the common flu.
The problem is his statement is false.
On Thursday the man behind the Imperial College study backtracked and now says 20,000 UK citizens may die from the coronavirus and not the original half a million they predicted.
This was a HUGE development.
On Thursday, while answering questions with President Trump and the rest of the White House coronavirus task force, Dr. Deborah Birx admitted that the initial coronavirus death estimates were too extreme.
This is exactly what The Gateway Pundit has been reported for 11 days now.
Dr. Birx: “The predictions of the models don’t match the reality on the ground in either China, South Korea, or Italy. We’re about 5 times the size of Italy. If we were Italy, and you did those divisions, Italy should have close to 400,000 deaths. They’re not close to achieving that.”
The coronavirus mortality rate is going to be nowhere near 3.4% when all is said and done.
Will anyone be held accountable for the economic destruction as a result?