Can Trump Carry Minnesota? | Power Line

2 mins read


President Trump narrowly lost Minnesota in 2016 despite making a relatively minor effort here, and the state is one that he hopes to pick up in 2020. Both Scott and I have been asked many times, as Minnesota residents and long-time observers, whether we think Trump has a good chance to carry the state this year. We both have responded pessimistically, based on a long series of Republican losses in statewide contests and a trend toward the Democrats in Twin Cities suburbs.

But a Star Tribune poll released on Sunday offers hope. The results aren’t overwhelming, by any means: 44% approval vs. 52% disapproval statewide. But Trump’s victory in 2016 didn’t depend on sky-high approval ratings; it resulted from voters preferring him to Hillary Clinton, regardless of whether they “approved” of him or not. The same will be true in spades this year, with Berne Sanders the likely Democratic nominee.

But this is the striking finding:

[I]n the metro suburbs, which are expected to be heavily targeted by both parties this November, 54 % voiced approval.

The Twin Cities suburbs are the state’s key battleground. It was a suburban swing to the Democrats in 2018 that drove the Republican wipeout here in that year. Richard Baris is a pollster whom I don’t know, but his comments are spot on:

He’s right. If President Trump really is close to 54% approval in the Twin Cities suburbs, the state is very much in play this year. If not, as Baris says, “over” in Trump’s favor.





Source link

Previous Story

Sanders: I Will Be "Organizer In Chief," I Will Go All Over Country To Pressure Senators On My Agenda | Video

Next Story

Don't forget I bought you that House majority

Latest from OPINION

TRUTH RIGHT IN YOUR INBOX!!!
JOIN OVER 35,000+ PATRIOTS IN RECEIVING REAL, ACCURATE, AND AMERICAN-CENTRIC NEWS!
Become a patriot!
Stand up to power, stand up to the establishment, and join us in the fight against the mainstream media!
Close